May 5, 2009
I'll Dye My Hair Purple If This Isn't The Beginning Of The Housing Market Recovery
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"Enjoy the moment at my expense, because this is the closest you'll ever get to seeing what I would look like with purple hair. The fact is, both residential and rental property in New Zealand are finally begining to show signs of recovery.
House sales are on the way up
According to Joseph Barratt who writes for the NZ Herald, a number of real estate agents, property companies and economists are cautiously optimistic about the future direction of the New Zealand housing market. In short, they're hoping that the recent upturn in house sales is heralding the start of the recovery.
Joseph goes on to say…
QUOTE:
"Two new reports, one from the Real Estate Institute and one from Crockers Property Group, offer the first signs that house prices may be rising.
The NZ Property Report, published by the Real Estate Institute and a group of big estate agencies, shows a sharp decrease in the number of properties listed for sale around New Zealand, an indication that the buyers' market of the past year may be turning to favour sellers.
And the Crockers report shows stronger sales in March, especially in Auckland, aided by population growth and expats coming home.
The reports come after Tony Alexander, the BNZ's chief economist, told buyers they shouldn't risk holding off in the expectation of lower prices.
The trends are far from certain, and most experts agree it's too early to confirm an upturn.
A dramatic decrease in the number of properties listed for sale in April suggests New Zealand could be turning to a sellers' market says the monthly NZ Property report released by www.realestate.co.nz.
However the report's conclusions has been refuted by some property experts saying it's too early to tell.
The Real Estate Institute report shows 10,453 properties were listed in April, a decrease of 21 per cent from March and 34 per cent from the same time last year.
The New Zealand property market has been a buyer's market for 18 months; however this is a significant drop in new listings," said Alistair Helm, chief executive of realestate.co.nz.
Glenda Whitehead, Auckland valuer for QV Valuations, said the market was a happier place than it had been in the past 12 months, but, it's too early to suggest a dynamic shift.
Buyers paying too much
Mortgagee auctions are no longer the steal that buyers hope for.
Mortgagee sales have exploded in recent months as more struggling homeowners are pushed into selling, but experts say buyers are paying too much at the auctions.
A Barfoot & Thompson mortgagee auction this week attracted more than 70 people to the sale of four Auckland houses, and one North Shore section.
The Browns Bay section didn't sell, and the four houses sold for barely $50,000 below their official valuations - hardly the fire sale that first-time buyers may expect.
Despite the large turnout, the auction room was eerily silent as the first bids were called for a four bedroom home in Dannemora.
The bidding slowly crept its way up to sell at $450,000 $60,000 under the official valuation.
The second property, another four-bedroom Dannemora home, sold for $445,000, while a third house just down the street sold for $415,000.
The fourth property, a one-level rear unit in Avondale, sold for $252,000."
END QUOTE:
If you take the time to look at where we are in the economic cycle you'll quickly realise why I am so confident of avoiding a purple rinse.
Home loan interest rates are at historic lows; we're past the half-way mark in the recession; immigration figures are starting to increase; real estate listings are at their lowest in more than a year; house sales are on the increase; property prices are currently experiencing their first real sign of stability in more than 18 months.
At the end of the day, the signs are there… a gradual upturn in property prices is almost certainly confirmation that the long-awaited recovery in the New Zealand housing market has begun.
Hell, I'll bet my aging Welsh locks on it!
Filed under Blog, New Zealand property, New Zealand property values by Mike


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